{"id":5561,"date":"2014-07-31T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2014-07-30T23:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/uncategorized\/tak-trochu-zmateny-prispevok\/"},"modified":"2014-07-31T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2014-07-30T23:00:00","slug":"tak-trochu-zmateny-prispevok","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/archiv\/tak-trochu-zmateny-prispevok\/","title":{"rendered":"A bit of a confusing post"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Ke\u010f som \u010d\u00edtal Plat\u00f3nov dial\u00f3g, podobenstvo o jaskyni, nerozumel som mu a a\u017e bratia \u010di s\u00farodenci Wachowski mi (a nielen mne) pomohli prenikn\u00fa\u0165 do sveta tejto idey, ke\u010f uviedli v roku 1999 svoj prelomov\u00fd Matrix.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00a0 \u00a0\u010co je a \u010do bude realita, je skuto\u010dne terra\u00a0incognita a spr\u00e1vny uhol poh\u013eadu. Existencia\u00a0je lot\u00e9ria s najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00edm jackpotom, ak\u00fd je k dispoz\u00edcii.\u00a0To, ako du\u0161ou \u0161pekulant vedie\u0165 \u010do nak\u00fapi\u0165,\u00a0\u010do bude realitou zajtraj\u0161ka, to by malo\u00a0nedoziernu cenu. A pr\u00e1ve tak\u00e1to my\u0161lienka ma\u00a0prenasleduje, \u010di nevid\u00edme nie\u010do, \u010do o p\u00e1r rokov\u00a0bude zrejm\u00e9. Ale m\u00f4\u017eem sa aj \u00faplne m\u00fdli\u0165. To\u00a0je luxus predpovede bez z\u00e1ruky. Takou je vlastne\u00a0ka\u017ed\u00e1 predpove\u010f. Tak\u017ee toto je t\u00e1 zm\u00e4ten\u00e1\u00a0my\u0161lienka, ktor\u00e1 vrh\u00e1 mno\u017estvo tie\u0148ov, a\u017e sa\u00a0za \u0148ou \u010drt\u00e1 nov\u00e1 realita.\u00a0Svet je pred ve\u013ekou zmenou, zmenou videnou\u00a0cez optiku aktiv\u00edt podstatn\u00fdch subjektov\u00a0na trhu. Nazvime to druhou priemyselnou\u00a0revol\u00faciou. A pozrime sa aj na implik\u00e1cie, ak\u00a0by to tak bolo, preto\u017ee pr\u00e1ve tie s\u00fa zauj\u00edmav\u00e9\u00a0predov\u0161etk\u00fdm. Samozrejme, AK\u2026<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00a0 \u00a0Druh\u00e1 priemyseln\u00e1 revol\u00facia, reprezentovan\u00e1\u00a0javom, ktor\u00fd nazvem plne automatizovan\u00fd\u00a0v\u00fdrobn\u00fd proces v prvom rade a plne\u00a0automatizovan\u00e9 produktov\u00e9 rady a slu\u017eby\u00a0n\u00e1sledne. Za\u010dneme ot\u00e1zkou. Pre\u010do Google nakupuje\u00a0firmy zameran\u00e9 na robotiku? Pre\u010do to\u00a0robia aj jeho konkurenti? To nebude len tak.\u00a0Pre\u010do sa zaoberaj\u00fa pr\u00e1ve t\u00fdmto? Rozm\u00fd\u0161\u013eajte\u00a0na t\u00fdm. \u010eal\u0161ia ot\u00e1zka. Ak vid\u00edte progres v oblasti\u00a0smatf\u00f3nov, tabletov a prakticky v\u0161adepr\u00edtomnos\u0165\u00a0modernej technol\u00f3gie, kam to m\u00f4\u017ee\u00a0smerova\u0165? Bud\u00fa aut\u00e1 potrebova\u0165 na\u0161u asistenciu,\u00a0ke\u010f u\u017e dnes vedia zaparkova\u0165 sam\u00e9? Bude\u00a0potrebn\u00e9 rie\u0161i\u0165 naplnenie chladni\u010dky, ke\u010f to\u00a0zvl\u00e1dne sama a bude potrebn\u00e9 chodi\u0165 do pr\u00e1ce,\u00a0ke\u010f v\u0161etko m\u00f4\u017eete urobi\u0165 z domu?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00a0 \u00a0A podstatn\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka: ak zv\u00e1\u017eime pr\u00ednos\u00a0z integr\u00e1cie technol\u00f3gi\u00ed v oblasti komunik\u00e1cie,\u00a0presnej mechaniky (nanotechnol\u00f3gie), robotiky\u00a0z exponenci\u00e1lne narastaj\u00facou v\u00fdpo\u010dtovou\u00a0kapacitou (nehovorme o umelej inteligencii),\u00a0ak\u00e9 n\u00e1m to d\u00e1va mo\u017enosti? Objem d\u00e1t, s ktor\u00fdmi\u00a0vieme pracova\u0165 sa systematicky zn\u00e1sobuje,\u00a0v\u010faka GPS sa orientujeme v\u0161ade, mechanika\u00a0je za bodom zlomu v oblasti doru\u010denia\u00a0ak\u00e9hoko\u013evek po\u017eadovan\u00e9ho spektra \u00fakonov,\u00a0to a \u010fal\u0161ie parci\u00e1lne pokroky d\u00e1vaj\u00fa v integrovanej\u00a0podobe \u0165a\u017eko domyslite\u013en\u00e9 mo\u017enosti.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00a0 \u00a0\u010co teda m\u00f4\u017eeme o\u010dak\u00e1va\u0165? Stavil by\u00a0som na plne automatizovan\u00fd v\u00fdrobn\u00fd proces,\u00a0ako na v\u00fdnimo\u010dne efekt\u00edvnu z\u00e1le\u017eitos\u0165. Sedem\u00a0dn\u00ed v t\u00fd\u017edni a 24 hod\u00edn denne pri kon\u0161tantnej\u00a0kvalite. Person\u00e1lne n\u00e1klady sa zmen\u0161ia na nepodstatn\u00fa\u00a0polo\u017eku, kvalita bude garantovan\u00e1,\u00a0produkcia v\u00fdrazne narastie. V\u0161etko sa zlacn\u00ed.\u00a0Hranicou bude pr\u00e1ve mar\u017ea, preto\u017ee t\u00e1 m\u00f4\u017ee\u00a0tvori\u0165 rozhoduj\u00facu \u010das\u0165 ceny, produkcie bude\u00a0v\u0161ak viac a teda toto cel\u00e9 zmen\u00ed prudko spotrebite\u013esk\u00fd\u00a0trh. \u010cak\u00e1 n\u00e1s ve\u013ek\u00e1 doba konzumn\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u00a0 \u00a0Ak sme tak \u010faleko.\u00a0Ale ak sme tak \u010faleko, ak\u00e9 to bude ma\u0165\u00a0implik\u00e1cie na ekonomiku ako tak\u00fa? \u010coho bude\u00a0viac a \u010doho menej? Kto bud\u00fa v\u00ed\u0165azi a kto porazen\u00ed?\u00a0Porazen\u00ed bud\u00fa ur\u010dite pracovn\u00edci s n\u00edzkou\u00a0kvalifik\u00e1ciou. V\u00ed\u0165azom bude spotrebite\u013e a ideov\u00fd\u00a0tvorca. Vzdelanie v\u00fdrazne narastie na hodnote.\u00a0Len vysok\u00e1 kvalifik\u00e1cia bude pridanou hodnotou\u00a0s vysokou cenou. To m\u00f4\u017ee \u00faplne zmeni\u0165\u00a0vzdel\u00e1vac\u00ed syst\u00e9m. Stane sa nevyhnutn\u00fdm\u00a0v \u017eivote jednotlivca, v\u00fdrazne sa roz\u0161\u00edri a pred\u013a\u017ei.\u00a0M\u00f4\u017eeme hovori\u0165 o priemysle vzdel\u00e1vania.\u00a0Mus\u00edm sa pozrie\u0165 na tituly spojen\u00e9 so vzdel\u00e1vaj\u00facou\u00a0sa spolo\u010dnos\u0165ou, \u017eeby akcie univerz\u00edt?\u00a0\u00damyselne to nedomysl\u00edm do fin\u00e1le, t\u00e9ma<br \/>\nje ve\u013emi popul\u00e1rna v sci-fi literat\u00fare a p\u00e1n Asimov\u00a0je pre m\u0148a autorita, s ktorou polemizova\u0165\u00a0nebudem. Ak aj nebudeme so Skynetom vies\u0165\u00a0otvoren\u00fd konflikt (J. Cameron to vid\u00ed inak :-)), tak\u00a0asi vo svete, ktor\u00fd pozn\u00e1me, neostane kame\u0148 na\u00a0kameni. To zmen\u00ed cel\u00fd S &amp; P index na nepoznanie.\u00a0Svet sa na za\u010diatku priemyselnej revol\u00facie\u00a0za jednu gener\u00e1ciu zmenil viac, ako za st\u00e1ro\u010dia\u00a0predt\u00fdm a v bl\u00edzkej dobe to nebude inak. Je to\u00a0v\u0161ak u\u017e tu?<br \/>\nNeviem. Vid\u00edm v\u0161ak, \u017ee internetov\u00e9 firmy\u00a0skupuj\u00fa firmy vyr\u00e1baj\u00face roboty, komunikujeme\u00a0v\u0161ade, aut\u00e1 parkuj\u00fa auton\u00f3mne. \u010co nevid\u00edme?\u00a0\u010co je na rysovac\u00edch dosk\u00e1ch? Bude\u00a0Google General Electric druhej priemyselnej<br \/>\nrevol\u00facie? Nemus\u00edm by\u0165 kontrari\u00e1n, aby som\u00a0kupoval tituly zameran\u00e9 na bud\u00facnos\u0165. T\u00e1\u00a0m\u00f4\u017ee patri\u0165 integr\u00e1torom, ktor\u00ed vedia prenies\u0165\u00a0do praxe kompetencie, ktor\u00e9 sme nadobudli\u00a0a zatia\u013e tvorili samostatn\u00e9 sektory. Sektory\u00a0prest\u00e1vaj\u00fa existova\u0165, dr\u017ete si klob\u00faky. P\u00f4jdeme\u00a0z kopca a pomal\u00e9 to ur\u010dite nebude.\u00a0A ke\u010f sa m\u00fdlim, tak si n\u00e1jdite svoju ideu, nikto\u00a0v\u00e1m nebr\u00e1ni. Ako povedal Nietsche v predhovore\u00a0k svojmu Antikristovi: \u201eE\u0161te mojim \u010ditate\u013eom\u00a0nedor\u00e1stli u\u0161i, aby ma po\u010duli\u201c.\u00a0Ospravedl\u0148ujem sa za toto zm\u00e4ten\u00e9 zamyslenie,\u00a0ospravedlnen\u00edm mi sn\u00e1\u010f m\u00f4\u017ee by\u0165\u00a0snaha pozrie\u0165 sa za horizont a \u010d\u00edta\u0165 z n\u00e1znakov\u00a0a tie\u0148ov.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Preto sa pod\u013ea tohto n\u00e1zoru ur\u010dite pri\u00a0investovan\u00ed neria\u010fte. Ale ak u v\u00e1s vyvol\u00e1 \u00fasmev,\u00a0tak som viac, ako spokojn\u00fd \ud83d\ude42<br \/>\nP.S.: Google m\u00e1 P\/E nad 30, pre\u010do? S \u010d\u00edm\u00a0to trh po\u010d\u00edta?<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ke\u010f som \u010d\u00edtal Plat\u00f3nov dial\u00f3g, podobenstvo o jaskyni, nerozumel som mu a a\u017e bratia \u010di s\u00farodenci Wachowski mi (a nielen mne) pomohli prenikn\u00fa\u0165 do sveta<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[51],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5561","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-archiv","two-columns"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5561","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5561"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5561\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5561"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5561"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5561"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}