{"id":5734,"date":"2016-04-21T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2016-04-20T23:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/uncategorized\/vlastnictvo-automobilu-a-blizka-buducnost-2025\/"},"modified":"2016-04-21T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2016-04-20T23:00:00","slug":"vlastnictvo-automobilu-a-blizka-buducnost-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/archiv\/vlastnictvo-automobilu-a-blizka-buducnost-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Car ownership and the near future 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u017dijeme \u017eivot,\u00a0ktor\u00fd je ovplyvnen\u00fd zr\u00fdch\u013eovan\u00edm existencie a ve\u013ek\u00e9ho rastu po\u010dtu obyvate\u013estva.\u00a0K\u00fdm v roku\u00a01804 \u017eila na plan\u00e9te jedna\u00a0miliarda\u00a0\u013eud\u00ed, dnes je to 7,4 mili\u00e1rd\u00a0a predpove\u010f\u00a0na rok\u00a02050 hovor\u00ed o \u010d\u00edsle a\u017e 9,7 miliardy.<\/span><\/h3>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/h3>\n

Technologick\u00e9 novinky a najm\u00e4\u00a0internet ovplyv\u0148uj\u00fa na\u0161e ka\u017edodenn\u00e9\u00a0\u017eivoty. D\u00f4le\u017eit\u00fdmi smermi sa uk\u00e1zali\u00a0globalizovan\u00e9 tovary, slu\u017eby a inform\u00e1cie. Medzi najd\u00f4le\u017eitej\u0161ie prvky rozvoja 21. storo\u010dia nepochybne patr\u00ed automobil a preprava ako tak\u00e1, preto hne\u010f\u00a0na \u00favod uv\u00e1dzam d\u00f4le\u017eite \u0161tatistiky. Po\u010det vyroben\u00fdch vozidiel na celej plan\u00e9te bol v roku 2009 53,9\u00a0mili\u00f3nov a predpoklad\u00a0na rok 2022 je a\u017e\u00a0105,6\u00a0mili\u00f3nov.<\/span><\/p>\n

Po\u010det \u013eud\u00ed v mestsk\u00fdch aglomer\u00e1ci\u00e1ch st\u00fapol od roku 1950 zo 746 mili\u00f3nov do roku 2014 a\u017e na 3,9\u00a0miliardy\u00a0a\u00a0z toho 53% r\u00e1stla pr\u00e1ve \u00c1zia. V rokoch 2014\u00a0a\u017e\u00a02050 len India, \u010c\u00edna a Nig\u00e9ria pohlt\u00ed 37% rastu celej plan\u00e9ty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tento obrovsk\u00fd rast obyvate\u013estva vytvor\u00ed tlak na prepravu, ktor\u00e1 mus\u00ed by\u0165 ekologick\u00e1, efekt\u00edvna a\u00a0pokia\u013e to bude mo\u017en\u00e9, aj r\u00fdchla. Tradi\u010dn\u00e9 sp\u00f4soby vlastn\u00edctva auta pravdepodobne p\u00f4jdu do \u00fazadia.<\/span><\/p>\n

Automobil ako neodmyslite\u013en\u00e1 s\u00fa\u010das\u0165 n\u00e1\u0161ho \u017eivota je nesporne jednou z\u00a0t\u00fdch najd\u00f4le\u017eitej\u0161\u00edch.<\/p>\n

<\/h2>\n

 <\/p>\n Automobil bud\u00facnosti. Zdroj: BMW\n

\u010co n\u00e1s \u010dak\u00e1 v\u00a0s\u00favislosti s\u00a0automobilmi <\/span><\/h2>\n

Z\u00e1kladn\u00fdm prvkom najbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch zmien, ktor\u00e9 sa n\u00e1s dotkn\u00fa, bude samotn\u00e9 vlastn\u00edctvo vozidla.<\/span><\/p>\n

Aktu\u00e1lne sp\u00f4soby nadobudnutia\u00a0automobilov s\u00fa n\u00e1kup za hotovos\u0165, pren\u00e1jom formou leasingu na finan\u010dn\u00fd leasing, pren\u00e1jom leasing a operat\u00edvny leasing a v\u00a0neposlednom rade si prenaj\u00edmame z\u00a0autopo\u017ei\u010dovn\u00ed. Nemo\u017eno tie\u017e nespomen\u00fa\u0165 rast\u00faci trh s carsharingom.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0160tatistky hovoria, \u017ee v\u00a0USA pomer n\u00e1jmu k n\u00e1kupu za\u00a0hotovos\u0165 st\u00fapa za posledn\u00fdch 10 rokov na \u00farove\u0148 a\u017e 30%.V\u00a0Eur\u00f3pe s\u00fa tieto \u0161tatistiky ni\u017e\u0161ie,\u00a0av\u0161ak\u00a0trend je rovnako st\u00fapaj\u00faci, rast\u00a0je na \u00farovni asi 15%.<\/span>Po\u010det \u00e1ut rastie a prehlbuje aj nedostatok finan\u010dn\u00fdch mo\u017enost\u00ed spotrebite\u013eov prev\u00e1dzkova\u0165 vozidl\u00e1 efekt\u00edvnej\u0161ie, ako\u00a0konglomer\u00e1ty spolo\u010dnosti. Tie tieto\u00a0slu\u017eby pon\u00fakaj\u00fa vo ve\u013emi dobrej kvalite a cene. \u010eal\u0161\u00edm d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00fdm faktorom, ktor\u00fd ovplyvn\u00ed mobilitu obyvate\u013estva, je pomer \u013eud\u00ed \u017eij\u00facich v mestsk\u00fdch aglomer\u00e1ci\u00e1ch a na vidieku. Tento pomer ve\u013emi r\u00fdchlo rastie.<\/p>\n

Dnes \u017eije v mestsk\u00fdch aglomer\u00e1ci\u00e1ch nasledovn\u00fd objem obyvate\u013estva:<\/span><\/p>\n

USA \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 82%<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Eur\u00f3pa\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0 73%<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00c1zia, Afrika\u00a0 40-48%<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u0161etky tieto \u010d\u00edsla predznamen\u00e1vaj\u00fa, \u017ee automobily ako tak\u00e9 nebud\u00fa v bud\u00facnosti majetkom s\u00fakromn\u00fdch os\u00f4b, ale spolo\u010dnost\u00ed, ktor\u00e9 ich bud\u00fa prev\u00e1dzkova\u0165 r\u00f4znymi sp\u00f4sobmi. Tie bud\u00fa viac re\u0161pektova\u0165 environment\u00e1lne potreby kraj\u00edn, efektivitu u\u017e\u00edvania a d\u013a\u017eku pou\u017eitia.<\/span><\/p>\n

Internet a auton\u00f3mne vozidl\u00e1 sp\u00f4sobia revol\u00faciu, ktor\u00e1 tento smer len podpor\u00ed. Auto budeme pou\u017e\u00edva\u0165 pod\u013ea na\u0161ich aktu\u00e1lnych potrieb.<\/span><\/p>\n

Doba \u017eivotnosti priemern\u00e9ho automobilu\u00a0\u00a0v USA je aktu\u00e1lne\u00a011,5 roka. Dost\u00e1vame sa tak do rovnice n\u00e1kupu vozidla, \u017eivotnosti, servisn\u00fdch n\u00e1kladov a slobody, po ktorej v\u0161etci t\u00fa\u017eime. Ma\u0165 pr\u00e1ve teraz\u00a0tak\u00e9 auto, ktor\u00e9 zodpoved\u00e1 na\u0161ej soci\u00e1lnej situ\u00e1cii, potreb\u00e1m, em\u00f3ci\u00e1m a, samozrejme, financi\u00e1m.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010co to znamen\u00e1?<\/strong><\/span><\/h2>\n

Aut\u00e1 ako tak\u00e9 prestaneme nakupova\u0165, znemo\u017en\u00ed to vo ve\u013ekej miere nedostatok hotovosti a efekt\u00edvne formy pren\u00e1jmu od ve\u013ek\u00fdch prev\u00e1dzkovate\u013eov. V\u00e4\u010d\u0161ina automobilov bude nakupovan\u00e1 ve\u013ek\u00fdmi prev\u00e1dzkovate\u013emi, ktor\u00ed ich bud\u00fa vlastni\u0165 a servisova\u0165, sledova\u0165 legislat\u00edvu a tomu efekt\u00edvne prisp\u00f4sobova\u0165 podmienky.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00e1kup vo ve\u013ek\u00fdch mno\u017estv\u00e1ch, servisn\u00e9 \u00fakony za ve\u013ekoobchodn\u00e9 ceny, ve\u013ekon\u00e1kup n\u00e1hradn\u00fdch dielov, elektronick\u00e1 spr\u00e1va vozidla, tieto a mnoh\u00e9 \u010fal\u0161ie faktory ovplyvnia rozhodovanie spotrebite\u013eov. Vlastn\u00edctvo automobilov prestane ma\u0165 zmysel. Vznikn\u00fa spolo\u010dnosti, ktor\u00e9 bud\u00fa pon\u00faka\u0165 slu\u017eby, ktor\u00e9 odzrkadlia dopyt z\u00e1kazn\u00edkov. Ako pr\u00edklad uvediem: jazdi\u0165 v zime ter\u00e9nne vozidlo a v lete sedan alebo kabriolet. Podstatn\u00fdm prvkom bude nezav\u00e4zova\u0165 sa na dlh\u00e9 obdobie, obdobie zmluvn\u00fdch vz\u0165ahov sa skr\u00e1ti na 1-2 roky. N\u00e1sledn\u00fd predaj pou\u017eit\u00fdch vozidiel sa bude odohr\u00e1va\u0165 vo virtu\u00e1lnej realite.Aby sa kapacity jazden\u00fdch \u00e1ut vedeli dostato\u010dne umiestni\u0165 na trhu \u010fal\u0161\u00edch financovate\u013eov a t\u00ed mohli reagova\u0165 pod\u013ea potrieb jednotliv\u00fdch u\u017e\u00edvate\u013eov, ktor\u00fdm tieto aut\u00e1 znova niekto vyfinancuje.<\/span><\/p>\n

S\u00fa\u010dasna forma operat\u00edvneho leasingu je \u00a0na za\u010diatku takejto slu\u017eby. Bude sa to podoba\u0165 modelu, ako dnes pou\u017e\u00edva napr\u00edklad \u00a0spolo\u010dnos\u0165 Boeing. Prenaj\u00edma lietadl\u00e1, z\u00e1rove\u0148 ich financuje a \u010falej po ukon\u010den\u00ed zmluvn\u00e9ho vz\u0165ahu ich pred\u00e1va \u010fal\u0161\u00edm z\u00e1ujemcom a\u017e po kone\u010dn\u00e9 zo\u0161rotovanie star\u00fdch lietadiel. Proces riadenia pou\u017eitia vozidiel bude v \u00fazkej skupine spolo\u010dnost\u00ed, ktor\u00e9 sa na uveden\u00e9 sofistikovan\u00e9 slu\u017eby bud\u00fa orientova\u0165.<\/span><\/p>\n

Glob\u00e1lne spolo\u010dnosti pon\u00fakaj\u00face operat\u00edvny leasing ako Lease Plan, Arval at\u010f., \u00a0ale aj tie, ktor\u00e9 prenaj\u00edmaj\u00fa aut\u00e1, ako je Avis a\u00a0tie ostatn\u00e9, maj\u00fa ve\u013ek\u00e9 \u0161ance pr\u00e1ve v tomto novovznikaj\u00facom segmente z\u00edska\u0165 najlep\u0161ie v\u00fdchodzie postavenie. Produkty, ktor\u00e9 pon\u00fakaj\u00fa s\u00fa najbli\u017e\u0161ie k tomu, kam n\u00e1s priv\u00e1dza bud\u00facnos\u0165 dopravy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cestovanie a globaliz\u00e1cia bude ve\u013emi d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00fdm faktorom podmie\u0148uj\u00facim uveden\u00e9 zmeny.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Segment\u00e1cia z\u00e1kazn\u00edkov<\/strong> bude d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e1 na to, aby sa zistilo,\u00a0ak\u00e9 modely z\u00e1kazn\u00edci bud\u00fa ma\u0165 z\u00e1ujem jazdi\u0165 a ak\u00e9 \u010fal\u0161ie bud\u00fa pou\u017e\u00edva\u0165. Potrebu bud\u00fa vytv\u00e1ra\u0165 spolo\u010dnosti, ktor\u00e9 aut\u00e1 bud\u00fa prev\u00e1dzkova\u0165. Tieto svoje sk\u00fasenosti bud\u00fa odovzd\u00e1va\u0165 v\u00fdrobcom, ktor\u00ed v\u00fdrobky bud\u00fa vyr\u00e1ba\u0165 na ich z\u00e1klade. Proces bude nesmierne automatizovan\u00fd a bude vo ve\u013ekej miere ovplyv\u0148ova\u0165 \u0161pecifik\u00e1 regi\u00f3nov i n\u00e1rodov.<\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Aut\u00e1 si budeme m\u00f4c\u0165 vysk\u00fa\u0161a\u0165 akoko\u013evek a\u00a0kdeko\u013evek, sadn\u00fa\u0165 do nich, preto\u017ee\u00a0virtu\u00e1lna realita n\u00e1m to dovol\u00ed. (Foto: vlo\u017een\u00e9 od Arnd Wiegmann\/Reuters)<\/i><\/p>\n

Predajn\u00e9 siete ako tak\u00e9 bud\u00fa postupne zanika\u0165<\/span><\/h2>\n

Predaj automobilov p\u00f4jde cestou, ako dnes pred\u00e1va napr\u00edklad zna\u010dka Tesla cez elektronick\u00e9 formy predaja a virtu\u00e1lne predv\u00e1dzania, ktor\u00e9 posun\u00fa hranice a predstavy do najvy\u0161\u0161ej formy. Aut\u00e1 si budeme m\u00f4c\u0165 vysk\u00fa\u0161a\u0165 akoko\u013evek a\u00a0kdeko\u013evek, sadn\u00fa\u0165 do nich, preto\u017ee\u00a0virtu\u00e1lna realita n\u00e1m to dovol\u00ed. Nebude nutn\u00e9 nav\u0161tevova\u0165 d\u00edlerov. Servisn\u00e9 intervaly tak isto prejd\u00fa zmenou. Technick\u00e9 \u010dasti bud\u00fa spravova\u0165 ve\u013ek\u00e9 centr\u00e1, ktor\u00e9 bud\u00fa schopn\u00e9 skontrolova\u0165 a opravi\u0165 ak\u00e9ko\u013evek zna\u010dky. N\u00e1hradn\u00e9 diely bud\u00fa \u010dim \u010falej, t\u00fdm viac typizovan\u00e9 a bud\u00fa sa kv\u00f4li regul\u00e1cii na seba podoba\u0165. Napriek tomu aut\u00e1 bud\u00fa viac vyjadrova\u0165 individualitu a schopnos\u0165 prisp\u00f4sobi\u0165 sa jednotlivcom, ktor\u00ed ich bud\u00fa pou\u017e\u00edva\u0165.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00a0na\u0161om aktu\u00e1lnom ch\u00e1pan\u00ed automobilov s\u00fa to prevratn\u00e9 zmeny.\u00a0Mnoh\u00e9 s\u00fa realitou u\u017e dnes a je len ot\u00e1zkou \u010dasu, kedy ktor\u00e9 sa spoja do celkov. Automobil nie je len prepravn\u00fd prostriedok, nie\u010do, \u010do n\u00e1s preprav\u00ed z bodu A do bodu B. Automobil je em\u00f3ciou, statusom, miestom, kde tr\u00e1vime \u010das\u0165 svojho \u017eivota. Je s\u00fa\u010das\u0165ou ka\u017ed\u00e9ho z n\u00e1s.<\/span><\/p>\n

A tak, ako sa men\u00ed a\u00a0vyv\u00edja \u010dlovek, tak doch\u00e1dza aj k v\u00fdvoju automobilov a prepravy. A v\u010faka technol\u00f3gi\u00e1m si budeme bud\u00facnos\u0165 vychutn\u00e1va\u0165 e\u0161te viac, ako dnes.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Zdroje inform\u00e1ci\u00ed:
\ntituln\u00e1 fotografia: IBM \/ Jaguar Land Rover<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

studia :kpmg \u201cEvolution of the finance and leasing business\u201c;<\/em><\/span>
\n :united nations\u00a0 \u201cWorld Urbanization Trends 2014: Key Facts\u201c);<\/em><\/span>
\n :worldometers.info\/world-population\/<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u017dijeme \u017eivot,\u00a0ktor\u00fd je ovplyvnen\u00fd zr\u00fdch\u013eovan\u00edm existencie a ve\u013ek\u00e9ho rastu po\u010dtu obyvate\u013estva.\u00a0K\u00fdm v roku\u00a01804 \u017eila na plan\u00e9te jedna\u00a0miliarda\u00a0\u013eud\u00ed, dnes je to 7,4 mili\u00e1rd\u00a0a predpove\u010f\u00a0na rok\u00a02050 hovor\u00ed<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[51],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5734","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-archiv","two-columns"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5734","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5734"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5734\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5734"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5734"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5734"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}