{"id":7924,"date":"2022-10-05T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2022-10-04T23:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/uncategorized\/neuveritelne-sa-stalo-skutocnostou\/"},"modified":"2022-10-05T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2022-10-04T23:00:00","slug":"neuveritelne-sa-stalo-skutocnostou","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/archiv\/neuveritelne-sa-stalo-skutocnostou\/","title":{"rendered":"Neuverite\u013en\u00e9 sa stalo skuto\u010dnos\u0165ou \/ Nedostatok \u00e1ut je dlhodob\u00fd trend"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: right;\"><span style=\"color: #999999;\"><strong>Tituln\u00e1 fotografia<\/strong>: Menej vyroben\u00fdch nov\u00fdch \u00e1ut znamen\u00e1, \u017ee \u010doskoro budeme ma\u0165 aj nedostatok jazden\u00fdch<br \/>\n<strong>Autor fotografie<\/strong>: Maksym Kaharlytskyi @Unsplash<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Ak by sme chceli zhodnoti\u0165 v\u00fdvoj ceny automobilov za posledn\u00e9 3 roky (2020 &#8211; 2022), je prekvapuj\u00face, \u017ee sa t\u00e1to zmena d\u00e1 porovna\u0165 s predch\u00e1dzaj\u00facimi 15 rokmi (\u010di\u017ee s rokom 2007).<\/p>\n<p>Sme svedkami <strong>bezprecedentn\u00e9ho n\u00e1rastu cien<\/strong>, priameho n\u00e1sledku prvej a druhej vlny Covidu a zmien s t\u00fdm s\u00favisiacimi. Samozrejme, konflikt na Ukrajine je takisto v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm \u010dinite\u013eom, ktor\u00fd uveden\u00e9 zmeny posil\u0148uje.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u010coho sme vlastne svedkami v s\u00fa\u010dasnosti a ako n\u00e1s to ovplyv\u0148uje?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>V predch\u00e1dzaj\u00facich \u010dl\u00e1nkoch som pop\u00edsal d\u00f4sledky n\u00e1stupu Covidu a n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 aspekty, ktor\u00e9 zaznamenal automobilov\u00fd priemysel. Nadv\u00e4zuj\u00face v\u00fdpadky v\u00fdroby zmenili uhol poh\u013eadu automobiliek na glob\u00e1lne v\u00fdrobn\u00e9 kapacity a sharing v\u00fdrobn\u00fdch kapac\u00edt medzi z\u00e1vodmi a zna\u010dkami.<\/p>\n<p>Po\u010das tohto n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00e9ho obdobia sa v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ina automobiliek chopila pr\u00edle\u017eitosti, ktor\u00fa im dan\u00e1 situ\u00e1cia vytvorila. Za\u010dali v\u00fdrobn\u00e9 kapacity prisp\u00f4sobova\u0165 produktom a modelom, ktor\u00e9 s\u00fa pre nich ziskov\u00e9 a z\u00e1rove\u0148 \u013eahko predajn\u00e9. Mnoho modelov vypadlo z v\u00fdrobn\u00e9ho programu, respekt\u00edve automobilky ich z nejak\u00e9ho nezn\u00e1meho d\u00f4vodu nedod\u00e1vaj\u00fa. Z glob\u00e1lneho bojiska, kde ka\u017edoro\u010dne bolo umiestnen\u00fdch bez m\u00e1la 90 mili\u00f3nov automobilov, sa v priebehu posledn\u00fdch troch rokov ukrojilo cirka 65 mili\u00f3nov automobilov, ktor\u00e9 sa nevyrobili. Zrazu cel\u00fd svet pochopil, \u017ee tak\u00e9to mno\u017estvo nikomu nech\u00fdba, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 umo\u017e\u0148uje automobilk\u00e1m zv\u00fd\u0161i\u0165 ich ziskovos\u0165.<\/p>\n<p>Takto vyzeraj\u00fa v\u00fdsledky dvoch v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch automobiliek, ktor\u00e9 posledn\u00e9 tri roky vyk\u00e1zali predaje a dosiahnut\u00e9 zisky v porovnan\u00ed s posledn\u00fdm rokom pred Covidom a n\u00e1sledne rokom po jeho stabiliz\u00e1cii.<\/p>\n<table style=\"border-collapse: collapse; width: 100%;\" border=\"1\">\n<tbody>\n<tr style=\"height: 24px;\">\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\"><\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">PVA<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">Zisk za r. 2019<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">PVA<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">Zisk za r. 2020<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">PVA<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">Zisk za r. 2021<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 24px;\">\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">VW Group<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">10,9 mil.<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">19,3 mld.<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">9 mil.<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">10,6 mld.<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">8,8 mil.<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">20,0 mld.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"height: 24px;\">\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">Stellantis<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">4,4 mil.*<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">2,7 mld.*<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">6,2 mil.<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">7,1 mld.<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">6,4 mil.<\/td>\n<td style=\"width: 14.2857%; height: 24px;\">18,0 mld.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<ul>\n<li>PVA &#8211; po\u010det vyroben\u00fdch automobilov v kusoch<\/li>\n<li>ZISK &#8211; operat\u00edvny profit v EUR<\/li>\n<li>* V\u00fdsledok FCA pred spojen\u00edm s PSA<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Je evidentn\u00e9, \u017ee z\u00e1kazn\u00edk sa dostal do defenz\u00edvy. Z\u013eavy neexistuj\u00fa a aut\u00e1 nie s\u00fa<\/strong>. Spotrebite\u013e je r\u00e1d, \u017ee m\u00e1 \u0161ancu k\u00fapi\u0165 \u201e\u010doko\u013evek\u201c, \u010do m\u00e1 \u0161tyri koles\u00e1, prieber\u010divos\u0165 a bitka o z\u00e1kazn\u00edka u\u017e dnes neplat\u00ed. Dokonca aj reklamu by mohli automobilky kompletne zru\u0161i\u0165, ve\u010f maj\u00fa v\u0161etko vypredan\u00e9 na mesiace a niektor\u00ed na roky vopred.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3>Porovnanie glob\u00e1lnych hr\u00e1\u010dov pod\u013ea po\u010dtu predan\u00fdch automobilov 2020\/2021<\/h3>\n<p>V roku n\u00e1stupu Covidu (2020) v\u0161etky automobilky ohl\u00e1sili zn\u00ed\u017eenie v\u00fdroby a pokles zisku. Nastavili v\u00fdrobn\u00e9 programy na ziskovos\u0165 v o\u010dak\u00e1van\u00ed poklesu z\u00e1ujmu. Vzh\u013eadom na lockdown v\u00fdroba klesla viac ako bol o\u010dak\u00e1van\u00fd dopyt. V\u00fdrobcovia nemali z\u00e1ujem opakova\u0165 rovnak\u00e9 chyby ako v roku 2009 po\u010das ve\u013ekej hospod\u00e1rskej recesie, kedy svet zahltila nadprodukcia a pln\u00e9 skladov\u00e9 plochy vyroben\u00fdch automobilov a n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 v\u00fdpredaje s ve\u013ek\u00fdmi z\u013eavami po celom svete. Vtedy automobilky zachr\u00e1nili rozsiahle programy v\u00fdmeny automobilov sponzorovan\u00e9 vl\u00e1dami, ktor\u00e9 mali obavy z p\u00e1du automobiliek &#8211; u n\u00e1s zn\u00e1me ako \u0161rotovn\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>O\u010dak\u00e1vania automobiliek sa naplnili, nerovnomern\u00e9 p\u00f4sobenie viacer\u00fdch v\u013an Covidu po celom svete v priebehu roku 2020 a n\u00e1sledn\u00e9 obavy \u013eud\u00ed o \u010fal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdvoj v\u00fdrazne zn\u00ed\u017eili dopyt po nov\u00fdch automobiloch.<\/p>\n<p>Po postupnom zvl\u00e1dan\u00ed pand\u00e9mie za\u010dal narasta\u0165 dopyt a tento trend sa potvrdil na za\u010diatku roku 2021.<\/p>\n<p>Ak v minulosti z\u00e1kazn\u00edk bol k\u013e\u00fa\u010dom k predajn\u00fdm \u010d\u00edslam a profitu a automobilky, situ\u00e1cia sa zmenila a je opakom toho, \u010do sme videli. <strong>Automobilka diktuje podmienky<\/strong> a vyr\u00e1ba tak\u00e9 mno\u017estvo, \u017ee z\u00e1kazn\u00edk sa dostal do situ\u00e1cie, kedy je r\u00e1d, ak m\u00e1 v\u00f4bec mo\u017enos\u0165 automobil k\u00fapi\u0165. Prakticky nulov\u00e1 konkurencia don\u00fatila spotrebite\u013ea cestova\u0165 za k\u00fapou desiatky \u010di stovky kilometrov, preto\u017ee dostupnos\u0165 je obmedzen\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>Av\u0161ak zn\u00ed\u017ei\u0165 produk\u010dn\u00e9 kapacity a znova ich zv\u00fd\u0161i\u0165 nebolo mo\u017en\u00e9 (vzh\u013eadom na subdod\u00e1vate\u013esk\u00e9 re\u0165azce) aj na z\u00e1klade priority udr\u017ea\u0165 ziskovos\u0165 predaja ka\u017ed\u00e9ho automobilu.<\/p>\n<p>Druh\u00e1 vlna Covidu, ktor\u00e1 dod\u00e1vate\u013esk\u00e9 re\u0165azce ovplyvnila, mala za n\u00e1sledok preru\u0161ovan\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky dielov a t\u00fdm zn\u00ed\u017eenie schopnosti vyrobi\u0165 po\u017eadovan\u00e9 mno\u017estvo. Prvou takouto polo\u017ekou boli \u010dipy, ku ktor\u00fdm sa nesk\u00f4r pridali r\u00f4zne diely, ktor\u00e9 sme doteraz ani nevedeli, \u017ee v aut\u00e1ch m\u00e1me. Globaliz\u00e1cia tak ospevovan\u00e1 v predch\u00e1dzaj\u00facich 25 rokoch dostala v\u00fdznamn\u00fa ranu. Dovtedy sme ani nevedeli, \u017ee glob\u00e1lny share vo v\u00fdrobe \u010dipov je takto v\u00fdrazne nevyv\u00e1\u017een\u00fd v prospech Taiwanu:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Taiwan 54%,<\/li>\n<li>Ju\u017en\u00e1 K\u00f3rea 17%,<\/li>\n<li>USA 7%,<\/li>\n<li>Zvy\u0161ok sveta 22%<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Ak\u00fdko\u013evek konflikt v t\u00fdchto z\u00f3nach v\u00fdroby ovplyvn\u00ed v\u0161etko, \u010do si len vieme predstavi\u0165, mimo in\u00e9 aj automobily.<\/p>\n<p>[visual-link-preview encoded=&#8220;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&#8243;]<\/p>\n<h3>Ako z toho von?<\/h3>\n<p>O\u010dak\u00e1van\u00e9 zvl\u00e1dnutie situ\u00e1cie v dod\u00e1vate\u013esk\u00fdch re\u0165azcoch, ktor\u00e9 malo nasta\u0165 na jar 2022, sa v\u0161ak nestalo, nako\u013eko vypukol konflikt na Ukrajine, ktor\u00fd svojimi v\u00fdrobn\u00fdmi kapacitami v krajine zabezpe\u010doval dod\u00e1vku r\u00f4znych komponentov pre autopriemysel, od k\u00e1blov\u00fdch zv\u00e4zkov a\u017e po sedadl\u00e1 do automobilov a tak \u010falej. N\u00e1sledn\u00e9 sankcie vo\u010di Rusku zamedzili dovozu surov\u00edn potrebn\u00fdch pre v\u00fdrobu automobilov &#8211; od \u017eeleznej rudy a\u017e po l\u00edtium tak potrebn\u00e9 pre bat\u00e9rie automobilov.<\/p>\n<p>Ke\u010f si premietnem posledn\u00e9 tri roky, m\u00e1m za to, \u017ee z jednej kr\u00edzy plynule prech\u00e1dzame do \u010fal\u0161ej a nevieme, \u010do bude \u010falej nasledova\u0165. No nie je to celkom pravda.<\/p>\n<p>To, \u017ee trh s automobilmi je v chaose, je zrejm\u00e9. Niekto vyr\u00e1ba, niekto nie, ka\u017ed\u00fd vyr\u00e1ba iba na objedn\u00e1vku a t\u00fdm p\u00e1dom \u010dak\u00e1me na aut\u00e1 dlh\u0161ie ako oby\u010dajne, pribli\u017ene minim\u00e1lne 12 mesiacov a pri niektor\u00fdch modeloch aj 2-3 roky. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 pri nedostatku nov\u00fdch automobilov a bezprecedentnom zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cien nar\u00e1stli aj ceny jazden\u00fdch \u00e1ut, ktor\u00fdch je \u010d\u00edm \u010falej menej.<\/p>\n<p>Zni\u017eovanie v\u00fdroby za posledn\u00e9 tri roky m\u00e1 za n\u00e1sledok, \u017ee mno\u017estv\u00e1 \u00e1ut, ktor\u00e9 sa nevyrobili. bud\u00fa ch\u00fdba\u0165 na sekund\u00e1rnom trhu s jazden\u00fdmi automobilmi a tieto d\u00f4sledky sa e\u0161te v najbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch rokoch prejavia.<\/p>\n<p>Rast cien komod\u00edt, ktor\u00e9 s\u00fa nutn\u00e9 na v\u00fdrobu automobilov, s\u00fa na\u010falej neust\u00e1le pod pa\u013ebou ich nedostatku a zvy\u0161ovania cien, \u010do m\u00e1 za n\u00e1sledok aj \u010fal\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1rast cien automobilov.<\/p>\n St\u00e1le plat\u00ed, \u017ee p\u00e1nom v\u00fdroby je z\u00e1kazn\u00edk a dopyt? Zd\u00e1 sa, \u017ee moment\u00e1lne automobilky ur\u010duj\u00fa, \u010do sa bude vyr\u00e1ba\u0165, kedy a za ko\u013eko a z\u00e1kazn\u00edk to jednoducho mus\u00ed akceptova\u0165.\n<h3>Pre\u010do sa m\u00f4j \u010dl\u00e1nok vol\u00e1 \u201eNeuverite\u013en\u00e9 sa stalo skuto\u010dnos\u0165ou\u201c? D\u00f4vodov je viac.<\/h3>\n<p>V prvom rade preto, \u017ee <strong>automobilky dosahuj\u00fa zisk pri ni\u017e\u0161ej v\u00fdrobe a zv\u00fd\u0161enej mar\u017ei za ka\u017ed\u00fd vyroben\u00fd kus,<\/strong> \u010do v minulosti bolo nemyslite\u013en\u00e9. Spotrebite\u013e v s\u00fa\u010dasnosti akceptuje 0% z\u013eavy a je r\u00e1d, ke\u010f automobil dostane. Tlak na cenu akoby zmizol, k\u013e\u00fa\u010dom pre spotrebite\u013ea je dostupnos\u0165.<\/p>\n<p><strong>D\u013a\u017eka vlastn\u00edctva automobilu sa radik\u00e1lne natiahla<\/strong>, vzr\u00e1stla oproti minulosti o 30-50%. Ak v minulosti spotrebite\u013e podmie\u0148oval v\u00fdber zna\u010dky a modelu, dnes sa orientuje pod\u013ea dostupnosti, kedy automobil dostane. Nie je pre neho d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e9, ak\u00fd je to model alebo zna\u010dka. Uva\u017euje z poh\u013eadu svojich prim\u00e1rnych potrieb.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Kupuj\u00faci za\u010dali vn\u00edma\u0165 automobil nielen ako spotrebn\u00fd tovar<\/strong>, ale aj ako mo\u017en\u00fa invest\u00edciu svojich vo\u013en\u00fdch finan\u010dn\u00fdch prostriedkov.<\/p>\n<p>Ceny nov\u00fdch automobilov st\u00fapaj\u00fa r\u00fdchlej\u0161ie ako re\u00e1lne mzdy zamestnancov, \u010do m\u00e1 za n\u00e1sledok zni\u017eovanie k\u00fapyschopnosti jednotlivca a jeho neschopnos\u0165 k\u00fapi\u0165 automobil. \u010cas\u0165 spotrebite\u013eov unik\u00e1 pri zabezpe\u010den\u00ed mobility k mo\u017enosti pren\u00e1jmu, kde sa cena h\u00fdbe pribli\u017ene na 1-2% nadob\u00fadacej hodnoty mesa\u010dne, \u010do je ove\u013ea menej ako automobil k\u00fapi\u0165 do vlastn\u00edctva. To, o \u010do sa autopo\u017ei\u010dovne a operat\u00edvno-leasingov\u00e9 spolo\u010dnosti sna\u017eili posledn\u00fdch 20 rokov a z\u00edskali nepatrn\u00e9 mno\u017estvo fan\u00fa\u0161ikov slu\u017eby, sa dnes st\u00e1va realitou a spotrebite\u013eov \u017eenie h\u00fafne pr\u00e1ve k nim.Nevlastni\u0165 a nevypl\u00e1ca\u0165 ve\u013ek\u00e9 \u010diastky za automobily a pou\u017e\u00edva\u0165 automobil iba vtedy, ke\u010f ho potrebujeme, je u mladej gener\u00e1cie z\u00e1kladn\u00fdm pravidlom a zd\u00e1 sa, \u017ee s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00e1 doba na\u017eenie aj in\u00e9 vekov\u00e9 kateg\u00f3rie do tejto sekcie.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>[visual-link-preview encoded=&#8220;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&#8243;]<\/p>\n<h3>\u010co e\u0161te pr\u00edde<\/h3>\n<p>Na z\u00e1ver sa pok\u00fasim odhadn\u00fa\u0165 \u010fal\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdvoj, ktor\u00fd m\u00f4\u017eeme o\u010dak\u00e1va\u0165. Aj ke\u010f v automobilovom sektore p\u00f4sob\u00edm viac ako 30 rokov, bud\u00facnos\u0165 mi pripad\u00e1 ako sci-fi.<\/p>\n<p>\u017dijeme v dobe nov\u00e9ho \u0161tandardu, automobilky sa bud\u00fa sna\u017ei\u0165 udr\u017ea\u0165 ziskovos\u0165 a t\u00fdm p\u00e1dom nedostatok nov\u00fdch automobilov sa bud\u00fa sna\u017ei\u0165 udr\u017ea\u0165 \u010do najdlh\u0161ie.<\/p>\n<p>Ak\u00e9ko\u013evek konflikty bud\u00fa ma\u0165 za n\u00e1sledok naru\u0161enie glob\u00e1lnych subdod\u00e1vok pre automobilov\u00fd priemysel.<\/p>\n<p>Ceny nov\u00fdch automobilov bud\u00fa na\u010falej r\u00e1s\u0165, bud\u00fa najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161\u00edm motorom infl\u00e1cie, ktor\u00fa tu teraz m\u00e1me. Ak si porovn\u00e1me cenu mal\u00e9ho automobilu s automatickou prevodovkou, ktor\u00fd st\u00e1l v roku 2019 14-tis\u00edc eur a dnes 22-tis\u00edc eur, o\u010dak\u00e1van\u00e1 zmena do roku 2025 je nad 30-tis\u00edc eur.<\/p>\n<p>Spotrebite\u013e za\u010dne odstupova\u0165 od k\u00fapy automobilu, na ktor\u00fd postupne nebude ma\u0165 peniaze a pri nedostatku jazden\u00fdch \u00e1ut bude jedin\u00e1 vo\u013eba pren\u00e1jom automobilu od zaveden\u00fdch nadn\u00e1rodn\u00fdch spolo\u010dnost\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Zvy\u0161uj\u00face sa \u00farokov\u00e9 sadzby, ktor\u00e9 zaviedli centr\u00e1lne banky ako FED a ECB spoma\u013euj\u00fa infl\u00e1ciu, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 maj\u00fa ve\u013ek\u00fd vplyv na spotrebu, ktor\u00e1 radi\u00e1lne kles\u00e1. Automobilky tento pokles o\u010dak\u00e1vaj\u00fa a znova rovnako ako po\u010das Covidu zni\u017euj\u00fa v\u00fdrobu automobilov. S t\u00fdm je previazan\u00e1 aj ziskovos\u0165, ktor\u00fa musia dodr\u017ea\u0165 a bude ma\u0165 za n\u00e1sledok efekt \u201e<strong>menej vyroben\u00fdch automobilov znamen\u00e1 zv\u00fd\u0161enie zisku na kus a teda zv\u00fd\u0161enie ceny pre spotrebite\u013ea<\/strong>\u201c. Jednoducho, bude sa vyr\u00e1ba\u0165 menej za viac. \u010c\u00edm \u010falej bude menej \u013eud\u00ed, ktor\u00ed si automobil bud\u00fa m\u00f4c\u0165 dovoli\u0165 a jazden\u00fdch \u00e1ut t\u00fdm p\u00e1dom bude \u010d\u00edm \u010falej menej tie\u017e.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Tieto vyhliadky nevyznievaj\u00fa ve\u013emi dobre. Ale ak si v\u010das uvedom\u00edme, \u017ee sa svet men\u00ed, mali by sme sa tejto zmene prisp\u00f4sobi\u0165 a neporovn\u00e1va\u0165 neporovnate\u013en\u00e9, ktor\u00e9 sme za\u017e\u00edvali pred p\u00e1r rokmi. <strong>Svet sa men\u00ed a my spolu s nim.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Sources:<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><em>Macrotrends<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>Stellantis annual report,2019,20,21<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>VW group annual report 2019,20,21<\/em><\/li>\n<li><em>Linchpinseo 1.oct 2022<\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>[visual-link-preview encoded=&#8220;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&#8243;]<\/p>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ak by sme chceli zhodnoti\u0165 v\u00fdvoj ceny automobilov za posledn\u00e9 3 roky (2020 &#8211; 2022), je prekvapuj\u00face, \u017ee sa t\u00e1to zmena d\u00e1 porovna\u0165 s predch\u00e1dzaj\u00facimi 15 rokmi (\u010di\u017ee s rokom 2007). Sme svedkami bezprecedentn\u00e9ho n\u00e1rastu cien, priameho n\u00e1sledku prvej a druhej vlny Covidu a zmien s t\u00fdm s\u00favisiacimi. Samozrejme, konflikt na Ukrajine je takisto v\u00fdznamn\u00fdm \u010dinite\u013eom, ktor\u00fd uveden\u00e9 zmeny posil\u0148uje.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[51],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7924","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-archiv","two-columns"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7924","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7924"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7924\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7924"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7924"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/instrid.sk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7924"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}